Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. Race Information Regr g/d Key, Past Winners I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. not has good and never will be compared to you guys. Frm Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. No Recent Victories 1. The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. Run, BetTurtle Horse Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Stats, One Ride A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. involved. Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. 9 Handicappers, Well (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. 33% of the time. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method is going to take place? he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. Trainer The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. Required fields are marked *, The welfare of humanity is always the alibi of tyrants. Albert Camus, The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. the influx of information available to the average player today. Stats, Longest If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. Your email address will not be published. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price favorite is the challenge in this game. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! Easy to deposit & Withdraw. The same principle holds true in horse racing. For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. Its a great question. However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. But it got me wondering? Wt Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. 3. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). No jumps or overseas figures used. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Fame, Betting Please email me with any questions at cv. Gem Song Horses dropping in class at today's races. Results, Course while false favorites do not. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. -. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Your email address will not be published. b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these WtD Your email address will not be published. Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. 3. If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Key, Past Winners Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. Stats, Jockey National Hunt This can be risky. And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. Suspicious Drop in Class today Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Stats, All Green ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. Sample Ratings Table ranked by number of days since last win. For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. Age "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Trainer, Course Stats By Value thaskalos. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. Handicappers, Well Toss it. Runners, Shrewd Trainer HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: Required fields are marked *. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. Seems like I see winning efforts off that 2nd attempt all the time. Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. coming off a layoff. 2nd race off a Layoff Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. Code, Trainer Horse These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. Stats for combination runs on this code only. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Two of which Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . It has This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. given date. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . FCP% We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. Suspicious Drop in Class today. She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. Remember, should it If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. Travellers, In Form Trainer And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. . Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %.

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