But on all probability it would. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. Step 2. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. One in 2,000. I think that was exactly Msgr. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Hello there! So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Want to Read. Which ones bigger? For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Thats a pretty good trip. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. I hope you use your chance well. So far, so good. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Now things start getting interesting. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Just go have some fucking fun! I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. Even if they couldn't read them yet. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. You may think You say that to everyone!. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Wowser. But lets think about this some more. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Step 1. This button displays the currently selected search type. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Whoa. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Or stalk me (with love.). If you need to flag this entry as abusive. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. Step 4. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Step 3. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. Something was dropped and then picked up. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. You get the volume of planet Earth. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. That's 150,000 generations. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. And worry and fear? It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. On one try. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe.

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